F1 2025 Qatar Grand Prix Weather Forecast: What to Expect in Lusail This Weekend
After the chaos and controversy of the Las Vegas Grand Prix, the Formula 1 paddock shifts its focus to the Lusail International Circuit for the penultimate race weekend of the 2025 season. And with the championship battle tighter than ever, all eyes are now on Qatar—not just for the racing action, but also for the weather conditions that could influence a decisive weekend.
This year’s Qatar GP is particularly significant because the title fight has unexpectedly become a three-way showdown. Lando Norris still leads the championship, but the double disqualification he and teammate Oscar Piastri suffered in Las Vegas has dramatically tightened the standings. Four-time world champion Max Verstappen now sits only 24 points behind Norris and is level on points with Piastri, with a total of 58 points still available across the final two rounds.
Because Qatar hosts a sprint weekend format, drivers have two races—and therefore two scoring opportunities—before the season finale in Abu Dhabi. Norris can even clinch his maiden world championship in Qatar if results align in his favor, making weather conditions a critical factor as teams fine-tune strategies.
Below is the complete and updated weather forecast for all three days of the Qatar Grand Prix weekend.
Friday, November 28 – FP1 & Sprint Qualifying
The racing weekend officially begins on Friday with a single hour of free practice followed by the first competitive session: sprint qualifying.
FP1 (4:30pm local time – AST)
Temperatures during the first and only practice session are expected to settle at around 26°C, even as the sun starts to sink behind the desert horizon. Due to humidity levels hovering near 52%, the real-feel temperature could rise to about 30°C, creating slightly warmer driving conditions than the raw readings suggest.
Wind speeds are forecast to remain gentle, which will be helpful as teams gather crucial data in this limited practice window. Most importantly, there is a 0% chance of rain, meaning uninterrupted running for all teams as they attempt to perfect their setups before qualifying.
Sprint Qualifying (8:30pm local time)
By the time sprint qualifying begins under the floodlights, the temperature will have dipped to around 24°C. However, humidity is expected to rise to 64%, pushing the real-feel temperature back up to around 29°C, which could impact tyre preparation and visibility through helmet visors.
Conditions remain dry with no chance of precipitation, while wind speeds may increase slightly to around 9 mph, still manageable but something engineers will monitor, especially during high-speed cornering.
Saturday, November 29 – Sprint Race & Grand Prix Qualifying
Sprint Race (5pm local time)
The first race of the weekend—offering eight points for the winner—gets underway in the early evening. Temperatures should sit around 25°C, extremely similar to Friday’s FP1. Humidity will drop slightly to around 50%, creating more comfortable racing conditions compared to Friday night’s qualifying.
Wind speeds are expected at approximately 11 mph, modest enough not to disrupt aero balance. Despite the desert setting, the skies will remain clear, with no rainfall expected. Drivers should experience stable conditions throughout the 23-lap sprint race.
Grand Prix Qualifying (9pm local time)
A long day for drivers concludes with the traditional qualifying session a few hours after the sprint. Temperatures will cool to around 23°C, but the cooler ambient and track temperatures may create challenges, especially in tyre warm-up phases.
Dry conditions persist with 0% chance of rain for the night session. Teams will likely adjust tyre pressures and run plans to maximize grip under the cooler floodlit conditions.
Sunday, November 30 – Qatar Grand Prix (Main Race)
Grand Prix (7pm local time)
The main event begins under the lights with a comfortable air temperature expected at around 24°C. Humidity is projected to sit at 56%, creating a real-feel temperature closer to 27°C.
Crucially, there is no threat of rain, ensuring a fully dry race that will allow strategy rather than weather to influence the championship battle.
The 57-lap race is expected to be a mandatory two-stop event, partly due to tyre degradation and partly because of the FIA’s rules relating to heat and safety. Unlike the brutally hot 2023 Qatar GP, drivers this year will benefit from a later calendar date and the availability of FIA-approved cooling systems should “heat hazard” conditions be triggered.
Light winds will brush across the Lusail circuit but are not expected to disrupt braking points or car stability
Final Notes
Weather conditions for the 2025 Qatar Grand Prix look stable, predictable, and fully dry—ideal for a weekend where the world championship could be decided. This page will continue to be updated if any shifts in the forecast occur as the event approaches.
