F1 2025 Monaco Grand Prix Weather Forecast: What to E…read more
The 2025 Formula 1 season heads into its eighth round this weekend with the iconic Monaco Grand Prix in Monte Carlo. This will mark the 82nd edition of the celebrated street race, renowned for its prestige, glamour, and the near-impossible overtaking challenges that make qualifying arguably more important than race pace.
Last year, Charles Leclerc finally broke through at his home race, securing his first-ever win in Monaco and delivering Ferrari its first victory at the principality since Sebastian Vettel triumphed in 2017. However, Leclerc — alongside Mercedes veteran Lewis Hamilton — may face a far tougher challenge in 2025. Both Ferrari and Mercedes have struggled in qualifying this season, a key weakness at a circuit where track position is everything. The tight, winding layout of the Monte Carlo streets makes overtaking extremely difficult, often rendering pole position as good as a win.
This season, Red Bull’s Max Verstappen and McLaren’s Oscar Piastri have shown impressive qualifying form, each securing three pole positions in the first seven rounds. That strong one-lap pace makes them early favourites to clinch victory in Monaco, especially given the narrow nature of the track. A good qualifying session is vital, and anything less could seriously hurt a driver’s race prospects.
Adding a layer of unpredictability this year is the mandate for a two-stop strategy. This regulation aims to spice up the show for viewers, increasing the chances for dynamic race developments and strategy shakeups. But could weather also play a pivotal role in shaping the outcome of the 2025 Monaco GP?
Here’s the detailed weather forecast for the entire weekend in Monte Carlo:
Friday, May 23 – Free Practice 1 & 2
The weekend kicks off with sunny intervals and a mild breeze during FP1 at 1:30pm local time (CEST). A 17% chance of rain lingers, though conditions are expected to stay dry with a pleasant 19°C temperature. Winds will gently blow from the south, particularly affecting areas like Portier and the tunnel section.
By the time FP2 begins at 5:00pm, skies will begin to clear further. Rain probability will drop slightly to 15%, and temperatures will remain steady at 19°C. Wind speeds will stay low at 6mph, maintaining consistent, manageable track conditions for the drivers.
Saturday, May 24 – FP3 & Qualifying
Saturday will be pivotal. FP3 gets underway at 12:30pm with more sunny intervals, light southern winds, and moderate humidity around 68%. There’s a 13% chance of rain, but it should stay dry as drivers look to finalize setups before the all-important qualifying session.
Qualifying starts at 4:00pm and could bring a touch more drama. Rain chances increase to 22%, which, if realized, could lead to a tense strategic battle over tyre choice — slicks versus intermediates. Even light rain can turn Monaco into a treacherous circuit, making the difference between pole and the wall razor-thin. Winds will remain light, reaching only 7mph.
Sunday, May 25 – Race Day
Race day is forecast to be the best weather-wise across the weekend. Sunshine is expected from morning through evening with zero chance of rain, ensuring dry running throughout the Grand Prix. The race begins at 3:00pm local time and will see peak temperatures of 20°C with 68% humidity. Calm, dry, and predictable weather should allow the race to run smoothly, though the mandatory two-stop rule may introduce some strategy surprises.
With strong qualifying contenders, a dry race day, and strategy variables in play, the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix promises another memorable chapter in Formula 1 history. Stay tuned for updates as the weekend unfolds.
